Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: On Robustness and Fragility

Title: Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: On Robustness and Fragility Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb ISBN: 9780812973815 Publisher: Random House Trade Paperbacks Published: 2010 Binding: Paperback Language: English Publisher Description: The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don't know, now with a new section called "On Robustness and Fragility." A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why