Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

NATIONAL BESTSELLER - Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result in "the ultimate guide to thinking about risk" (Charles Duhigg, author of The Power of Habit). "A big favorite among investors these days."--The New York Times "Outstanding."--Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted and the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck? Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is